PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lizgon

0xc528ffbbf2d342b98ea340057abe80bfb162007c

Realised P&L
$75.56
Volume
$12.9k
Markets traded
295
Open portfolio
$68.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded295
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes0.9700.981$40.43+$0.43
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? · No0.7600.945$6.22+$1.22
Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026? · No0.8900.950$5.34+$0.34
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9140.971$5.31+$0.31
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? · No0.9320.975$5.23+$0.23
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · No0.9670.992$5.13+$0.13
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2600.032$0.62−$4.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 18:13Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.97$40.00
10-14 01:28O/U 0.5 RoundsBUY0.9899999971$40.47
10-12 13:47Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 31 million or more views on day 2?BUY0.999$40.46
10-09 00:15Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?BUY0.996$40.30
10-06 13:43Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on October 6?BUY0.997$39.20
10-02 14:27Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.9889999998$39.76
09-29 12:59Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?BUY0.999$38.75
09-28 14:37Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 28?BUY0.986$39.19
09-27 12:10Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?BUY0.997$39.10
09-15 11:58Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.9788534923$38.29
09-07 13:36Will MrBeast's latest video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2?BUY0.998$38.24
09-06 07:50KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kiwoom HeroesBUY0.9969998315$5.22
09-06 07:50Human moon landing in 2026?SELL0.992$5.23
09-06 07:49KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kiwoom HeroesBUY0.9959999754$32.88
08-30 09:45Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?BUY0.986$31.46