0xC524Ca2f1a041b9C9106Ccd4840b5aD48730c956-1767690432670
0xc524ca2f1a041b9c9106ccd4840b5ad48730c956
- Realised P&L
- $-237.10
- Volume
- $92.7k
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $20.19
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$90.22at 0.260US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
- +$27.33at 0.330US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
- +$3.29at 0.820US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$2.46at 0.670US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$1.76at 0.740US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-08 22:15 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0679999383 | $1.00 |
| 06-08 22:15 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.0789999325 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 22:31 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0710000027 | $2.00 |
| 05-10 22:30 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0710000027 | $2.00 |
| 04-12 11:08 | Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 04-12 11:08 | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $3.18 |
| 04-12 11:08 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.084 | $9.69 |
| 04-09 12:12 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | BUY | 0.024 | $5.00 |
| 04-09 12:11 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |
| 04-07 12:45 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.088 | $30.46 |
| 04-02 20:40 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 04-02 20:40 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.7399999674 | $5.00 |
| 04-02 20:40 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.6699999625 | $5.00 |
| 03-19 21:50 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $5.00 |
| 03-19 20:33 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.3799999468 | $2.00 |