PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xC524Ca2f1a041b9C9106Ccd4840b5aD48730c956-1767690432670

0xc524ca2f1a041b9c9106ccd4840b5ad48730c956

Realised P&L
$-237.10
Volume
$92.7k
Markets traded
112
Open portfolio
$20.19

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded112
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration72.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample49 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1160.045$5.82$9.18
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0010.002$3.00+$1.00
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0710.028$1.55$2.45
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0020.002$1.50$0.50
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2620.065$1.49$4.51
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.005$1.38+$0.38
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0390.048$1.22+$0.22
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$1.00$1.00
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1100.025$0.93$3.07
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0040.002$0.75$1.25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0680.041$0.60$0.41
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes0.0790.043$0.54$0.46
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.1300.018$0.27$1.73
NATO dissolves before 2027? · Yes0.0900.015$0.16$0.84
Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-08 22:15Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.0679999383$1.00
06-08 22:15Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.0789999325$1.00
05-10 22:31Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0710000027$2.00
05-10 22:30Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0710000027$2.00
04-12 11:08Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.001$1.00
04-12 11:08Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?SELL0.07$3.18
04-12 11:08Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.084$9.69
04-09 12:12Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?BUY0.024$5.00
04-09 12:11Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999913$10.00
04-07 12:45Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.088$30.46
04-02 20:40US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
04-02 20:40US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.7399999674$5.00
04-02 20:40US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.6699999625$5.00
03-19 21:50Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1299999789$5.00
03-19 20:33US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.3799999468$2.00