kibuseed
0xc4f43ebe5f4ad5d0e78628d30d514dc7e26ae833
- Realised P&L
- $-5.88
- Volume
- $223.56
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $17.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.305 | $8.97 | −$1.03 |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.065 | $4.06 | −$0.94 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.125 | $3.68 | −$1.32 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.045 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 · Yes | 0.014 | 0.005 | $0.39 | −$0.61 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.62 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 10:04 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 10:00 | Iran leadership change by November 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 09:57 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $4.32 |
| 09-22 09:50 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 09:49 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 09:49 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 | BUY | 0.0139999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 09:48 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.729999954 | $10.00 |