PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kibuseed

0xc4f43ebe5f4ad5d0e78628d30d514dc7e26ae833

Realised P&L
$-5.88
Volume
$223.56
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$17.60

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3400.305$8.97−$1.03
Iran leadership change by November 30? · Yes0.0800.065$4.06−$0.94
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.125$3.68−$1.32
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.045$0.50−$0.50
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 · Yes0.0140.005$0.39−$0.61
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00−$5.62

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 10:04NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3399999966$10.00
09-22 10:00Iran leadership change by November 30?BUY0.08$5.00
09-22 09:57Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?SELL0.72$4.32
09-22 09:50Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.1699999983$5.00
09-22 09:49Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999928$1.00
09-22 09:49Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026BUY0.0139999999$1.00
09-22 09:48Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.729999954$10.00