bdgurdj
0xc4186d7e78f73258cba6e7d9e7f965a4df7a17c7
- Realised P&L
- $21.30
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $253.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.60at 0.720Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
- +$28.00at 0.600Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$16.45at 0.530Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
- +$13.24at 0.500Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
- +$2.56at 0.968Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-18 09:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $20.93 |
| 03-18 09:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | BUY | 0.53 | $17.97 |
| 01-19 10:14 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.88 | $88.00 |
| 01-13 17:21 | Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3) | BUY | 0.72 | $19.60 |
| 01-13 17:19 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $94.54 |
| 01-13 17:19 | Suns vs. Heat | BUY | 0.5 | $24.00 |