JJo
0xc4086b708cd3a50880b7069add1a1a80000f4675
- Realised P&L
- $280.3k
- Volume
- $44.99M
- Markets traded
- 1,726
- Open portfolio
- $175.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,726
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.6kat 0.036Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
- +$32.9kat 0.383Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
- +$25.9kat 0.008Will the Liberal–National Coalition win less than 45 seats?
- +$20.7kat 0.324No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
- +$19.3kat 0.220Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 12:17 | Will Together win 8-10 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.999 | $377.61 |
| 11-01 12:17 | Will Together win 11-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.9920822712 | $622.71 |
| 11-01 06:36 | Blue wave in 2026? | BUY | 0.8728421076 | $20.2k |
| 11-01 01:09 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.05 | $501.66 |
| 10-31 23:38 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.5k |
| 10-31 12:30 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.40 |
| 10-31 10:23 | Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.975 | $10.73 |
| 10-31 10:23 | Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.9747957842 | $3.3k |
| 10-31 09:45 | Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31? | BUY | 0.05267888 | $35.37 |
| 10-31 09:05 | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.41 |
| 10-31 09:05 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $51.05 |
| 10-31 09:04 | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9979716748 | $646.17 |
| 10-31 02:30 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.993 | $26.6k |
| 10-30 22:41 | Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.865 | $1.9k |
| 10-30 22:41 | Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.87 | $5.8k |