JJo
0xc4086b708cd3a50880b7069add1a1a80000f4675
- Realised P&L
- $277.2k
- Volume
- $43.28M
- Markets traded
- 1,665
- Open portfolio
- $226.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,665
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration43.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.6kat 0.034Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
- +$30.6kat 0.326Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
- +$26.3kat 0.008Will the Liberal–National Coalition win less than 45 seats?
- +$21.8kat 0.284No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
- +$19.3kat 0.220Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 17:55 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.8k |
| 09-16 17:14 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 17:09 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.87 | $26.1k |
| 09-16 15:24 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.88 | $8.8k |
| 09-07 07:47 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.022 | $1.29 |
| 09-04 09:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.0197706266 | $949.67 |
| 09-01 09:46 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.023 | $1.89 |
| 08-29 14:24 | Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? | BUY | 0.9977187543 | $13.9k |
| 08-29 13:08 | Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? | BUY | 0.989970539 | $295.70 |
| 08-29 12:37 | Will Ryan Robertson win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? | BUY | 0.9989996111 | $13.0k |
| 08-29 12:35 | Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? | BUY | 0.96 | $199.68 |
| 08-28 14:36 | Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? | SELL | 0.41 | $8.20 |
| 08-28 09:50 | Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? | BUY | 0.4395855781 | $106.07 |
| 08-28 09:49 | Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? | BUY | 0.5426153147 | $95.52 |
| 08-28 09:46 | Will Ryan Robertson win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.51 |