PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

JJo

0xc4086b708cd3a50880b7069add1a1a80000f4675

Realised P&L
$267.4k
Volume
$41.88M
Markets traded
1,625
Open portfolio
$248.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,625
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.882$53.0k+$22.9k
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.873$52.4k+$22.4k
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.5000.808$48.5k+$18.5k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.792$47.5k+$17.6k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.207$12.5k$17.5k
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.192$11.5k$18.5k
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.128$7.7k$22.3k
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.117$7.1k$22.9k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7900.795$5.4k+$34.21
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · No0.9960.994$2.3k$6.91
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0070.002$24.90$100.06
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0070.002$24.90$100.06
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0070.002$24.90$100.06
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0070.002$24.90$100.06
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0070.002$24.90$100.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 07:00Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.9970516556$3.9k
08-02 08:57Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?BUY0.999$116.57
07-27 07:33Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?BUY0.998$99.8k
07-27 07:27Will CXMT’s market cap be less than 250 billion yuan at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?BUY0.999$99.89
07-24 03:21Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.009$35.00
07-24 03:20Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.002$1.20
07-24 03:20Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.002$10.02
07-19 13:32Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?SELL0.81$277.78
07-15 22:21Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?BUY0.51$357.00
07-09 00:20Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.999$21.0k
07-08 02:30Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.999$122.8k
07-01 14:03Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.945$10.39
07-01 13:59Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?SELL0.973$95.27
06-18 13:20Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? BUY0.998$42.2k
06-18 00:21US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.999$7.0k