JJo
0xc4086b708cd3a50880b7069add1a1a80000f4675
- Realised P&L
- $267.4k
- Volume
- $41.88M
- Markets traded
- 1,625
- Open portfolio
- $248.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,625
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.6kat 0.036Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
- +$32.9kat 0.383Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
- +$25.9kat 0.008Will the Liberal–National Coalition win less than 45 seats?
- +$20.7kat 0.324No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
- +$19.2kat 0.175Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 07:00 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.9970516556 | $3.9k |
| 08-02 08:57 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $116.57 |
| 07-27 07:33 | Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.8k |
| 07-27 07:27 | Will CXMT’s market cap be less than 250 billion yuan at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.89 |
| 07-24 03:21 | Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.009 | $35.00 |
| 07-24 03:20 | Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.20 |
| 07-24 03:20 | Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.002 | $10.02 |
| 07-19 13:32 | Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $277.78 |
| 07-15 22:21 | Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $357.00 |
| 07-09 00:20 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.0k |
| 07-08 02:30 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $122.8k |
| 07-01 14:03 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.945 | $10.39 |
| 07-01 13:59 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | SELL | 0.973 | $95.27 |
| 06-18 13:20 | Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $42.2k |
| 06-18 00:21 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.0k |