0xc3aef1812b3214914ec72fe1b48e18e483bee8c9
0xc3aef1812b3214914ec72fe1b48e18e483bee8c9
- Realised P&L
- $21.62
- Volume
- $607.77
- Markets traded
- 186
- Open portfolio
- $14.40
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded186
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.03at 0.227Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during July Press Conference?
- +$7.01at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$7.01at 0.229Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
- +$7.01at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?
- +$6.26at 0.249Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 01:14 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 01:06 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 23:20 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.763999945 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 14:43 | McDonald's (MCD) Q3 global comparable sales growth 1% to 2%? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 15:59 | Will JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.4M in September? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 22:59 | CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 92% to 93.5%? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 14:53 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in October? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 05:00 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 20:50 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 12:32 | Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 04:21 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 20:20 | Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 12:06 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 04:03 | Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.4489998976 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 20:02 | Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%? | BUY | 0.3269999974 | $1.00 |