PolyBot

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Traders

Oxmani

0xc307318ac3756f1e8ddd294e9be3f6e3e93b8a38

Realised P&L
$-108.19
Volume
$30.9k
Markets traded
110
Open portfolio
$4.25

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded110
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration90.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027? · Yes0.2000.075$1.88$3.13
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0170.004$1.83$7.17
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0200.005$0.55$1.45
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00$15.00
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0640.000$0.00$35.60
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00$15.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00$32.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$19.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 07:07Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.0225490152$5.00
07-30 07:07Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0220000001$5.00
07-30 07:07Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.01$5.00
07-22 16:29Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0343137146$3.00
07-05 13:32Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0539999901$5.00
07-05 13:31Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0599999946$10.00
07-05 13:30Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0699999939$10.00
06-24 06:09Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0270000003$3.00
06-24 06:09Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0340000004$3.00
06-10 07:28Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?BUY0.008$5.00
05-30 09:40Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY0.3099999836$10.00
05-22 14:22Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?BUY0.0185434893$5.00
05-19 17:11Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1859999727$5.00
05-19 17:11Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?BUY0.0411764628$5.00
05-19 17:09Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0906618314$10.00