Oxmani
0xc307318ac3756f1e8ddd294e9be3f6e3e93b8a38
- Realised P&L
- $-108.19
- Volume
- $30.9k
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $4.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.075 | $1.88 | −$3.13 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.004 | $1.83 | −$7.17 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.005 | $0.55 | −$1.45 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.062 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.064 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.60 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$365.97at 0.114Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
- +$45.00at 0.100Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116K and $118K on August 15?
- +$35.96at 0.100Will the price of Ethereum be between $3600 and $3700 on August 6?
- +$35.16at 0.120Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $117K on August 6?
- +$35.02at 0.125Will the price of Ethereum be between $3600 and $3700 on August 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 07:07 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0225490152 | $5.00 |
| 07-30 07:07 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0220000001 | $5.00 |
| 07-30 07:07 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 16:29 | Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0343137146 | $3.00 |
| 07-05 13:32 | Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0539999901 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 13:31 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 13:30 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 06-24 06:09 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0270000003 | $3.00 |
| 06-24 06:09 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0340000004 | $3.00 |
| 06-10 07:28 | Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting? | BUY | 0.008 | $5.00 |
| 05-30 09:40 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.3099999836 | $10.00 |
| 05-22 14:22 | Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting? | BUY | 0.0185434893 | $5.00 |
| 05-19 17:11 | Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1859999727 | $5.00 |
| 05-19 17:11 | Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting? | BUY | 0.0411764628 | $5.00 |
| 05-19 17:09 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0906618314 | $10.00 |