0xC2f0CdC980f8EB806Ba2467C0e0e4B5279277ab9-1780548514799
0xc2f0cdc980f8eb806ba2467c0e0e4b5279277ab9
- Realised P&L
- $-205.45
- Volume
- $33.7k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $6.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.73at 0.770Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$32.79at 0.839Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$8.42at 0.148Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
- +$6.27at 0.810Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?
- +$5.26at 0.950Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 22:06 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.9634313823 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 22:04 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.0384436621 | $24.46 |
| 08-07 22:06 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 22:06 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | BUY | 0.7761190168 | $299.97 |
| 08-07 22:05 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7650525771 | $280.84 |
| 07-24 15:59 | Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? | SELL | 0.8608100446 | $106.27 |
| 07-16 11:41 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | SELL | 0.022 | $4.07 |
| 07-03 13:16 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999996 | $290.00 |
| 07-02 22:09 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.1571709234 | $100.00 |
| 07-02 19:27 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.973 | $252.73 |
| 06-28 23:30 | Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999946 | $30.00 |
| 06-28 23:29 | Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? | BUY | 0.8099999993 | $100.00 |
| 06-28 23:24 | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9499999981 | $100.00 |
| 06-28 01:16 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999987 | $400.00 |
| 06-22 23:55 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | BUY | 0.7784431071 | $100.00 |