PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MoreDread

0xc286d3702acc95b907dcc557b9a525f0f324e86e

Realised P&L
$26.78
Volume
$70.2k
Markets traded
155
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded155
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.6950.835$350.70+$58.90
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.6210.918$215.85+$69.80
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? · Yes0.7100.710$213.00+$0.00
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.3870.525$212.63+$55.73
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.7700.954$190.80+$36.80
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5700.405$162.00$66.00
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5600.445$153.45$39.83
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · No0.6200.865$147.04+$41.65
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.3700.840$84.00+$47.00
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.2020.161$80.25$20.75
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.1600.085$59.50$52.50
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.5000.465$46.50$3.50
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.2800.255$45.90$4.50
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · Yes0.5000.275$24.82$20.30
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.9000.935$21.28+$0.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 22:12Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.786$188.64
07-30 10:16NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.2784843537$81.87
07-28 18:54Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?SELL0.029$9.57
07-28 18:29Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.215$21.50
07-26 15:24Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.63$22.05
07-23 15:31US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.15$30.00
07-20 18:15Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.639$95.85
07-20 18:12Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.639$95.85
07-20 18:12Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.639$63.90
07-20 18:11Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.362$57.92
07-20 13:39Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.3599999208$2.00
07-20 13:39Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETSELL0.32$1.60
07-20 13:39Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.4$2.00
07-20 13:38Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETSELL0.34$3.78
07-20 13:38Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.179999928$2.00