Voland6777
0xc23ecc9f4d36ad8fa7675f135a6f59f36dac6499
- Realised P&L
- $-10.0k
- Volume
- $357.8k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $28.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.264Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$985.85at 0.775Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$868.92at 0.694Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?
- +$560.43at 0.752Will New People (NL) win fewer than 35 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
- +$469.30at 0.646Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 16:19 | Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.041 | $1.33 |
| 10-31 23:57 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.95 | $494.00 |
| 10-31 23:50 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $52.53 |
| 10-31 23:49 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $5.70 |
| 10-31 23:48 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $44.93 |
| 10-31 23:20 | Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? | BUY | 0.72 | $666.72 |
| 10-31 23:14 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.71 | $70.29 |
| 10-31 23:12 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.71 | $1.8k |
| 10-31 23:10 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.71 | $497.00 |
| 10-31 23:06 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.71 | $497.00 |
| 10-31 22:41 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.71 | $71.00 |
| 10-31 22:30 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.71 | $2.6k |
| 10-31 22:22 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.71 | $1.1k |
| 10-31 16:34 | Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $34.20 |
| 10-31 13:05 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $25.20 |