Francric
0xc168f39ea8054c30c4a8f2c66c41eb9041fb5398
- Realised P&L
- $117.23
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $266.18
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.17at 0.815Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
- +$15.29at 0.555Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$6.78at 0.400Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?
- +$6.55at 0.914Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?
- +$5.15at 0.660US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 17:01 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027? | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 16:59 | Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.8599999983 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 16:59 | Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? | BUY | 0.8599999243 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 16:58 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3469999976 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 16:54 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1819999998 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 16:54 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.8899999947 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 16:53 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.344999999 | $15.00 |
| 06-25 10:12 | Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.9009999931 | $10.00 |
| 06-25 10:11 | Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections? | BUY | 0.6899999917 | $5.00 |
| 06-25 10:11 | Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 06-25 10:10 | Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 06-25 10:02 | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $16.50 |
| 06-01 10:54 | Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.62 | $6.20 |
| 05-12 21:26 | Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.59 | $5.90 |
| 05-10 10:24 | Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.7920792079 | $5.00 |