PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Syndication

0xc14fb905beeef9f447ef63645b506d002831df67

Realised P&L
$280.99
Volume
$6.7k
Markets traded
216
Open portfolio
$36.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded216
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.3520.972$19.33+$12.33
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4550.485$10.65+$0.65
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes0.2790.075$2.46−$6.69
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? · Yes0.1550.105$1.36−$0.64
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1610.055$1.03−$1.97
Will Germany win the UEFA EURO 2028? · Yes0.1000.095$0.95−$0.05
AI bubble burst in 2026? · Yes0.2100.063$0.30−$0.70
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.035$0.29−$0.71
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1030.009$0.18−$1.82
NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? · Yes0.0680.001$0.01−$0.99
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00−$1.00
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev · Flavio Cobolli0.2220.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 07:59Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.1899999962$1.00
09-15 07:50Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?BUY0.16$1.00
09-15 07:49Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.93$10.59
09-12 15:47Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.5129999839$5.00
08-19 23:02Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.5$1.00
08-19 15:26Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?BUY0.459999885$2.00
08-19 12:20Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?BUY0.4399998064$1.00
08-18 05:52Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
08-18 05:25Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
08-17 21:46Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
08-17 21:46Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.4899998285$1.00
08-15 16:13Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.089999919$1.00
08-10 20:49Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
08-09 08:04Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?BUY0.239999856$1.00
08-09 08:04Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?BUY0.239999856$1.00