Syndication
0xc14fb905beeef9f447ef63645b506d002831df67
- Realised P&L
- $280.99
- Volume
- $6.7k
- Markets traded
- 216
- Open portfolio
- $36.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded216
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$277.87at 0.056US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$49.74at 0.286US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$24.43at 0.061Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
- +$15.50at 0.196Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
- +$12.86at 0.280Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 07:59 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 07:50 | Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 07:49 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $10.59 |
| 09-12 15:47 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.5129999839 | $5.00 |
| 08-19 23:02 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 15:26 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.459999885 | $2.00 |
| 08-19 12:20 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 05:52 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 05:25 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 21:46 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 21:46 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 08-15 16:13 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 08-10 20:49 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 08:04 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 08:04 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |