PolyBot

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Traders

0xc10B4d2ca933f56475c4cd2835820e35e76De3e0-1779136499551

0xc10b4d2ca933f56475c4cd2835820e35e76de3e0

Realised P&L
$-8.04
Volume
$20.5k
Markets traded
55
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded55
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.8500.815$191.76$8.23
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · No0.7900.860$163.28+$13.28
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.8760.978$122.72+$12.72
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · No0.4800.445$116.88$9.12
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? · No0.7640.875$114.48+$14.48
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.945$106.18+$6.18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · No0.8900.925$103.93+$3.93
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? · No0.8800.905$102.84+$2.84
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.945$100.53+$0.53
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? · No0.8700.870$100.00+$0.00
SSI public model released by September 30, 2026? · No0.9300.905$97.31$2.69
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? · Yes0.9190.945$92.53+$2.54
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? · No0.8500.941$85.22+$8.22
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by October 31? · No0.8000.745$69.79$5.21
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · No0.7700.955$62.01+$12.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 22:22Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?BUY0.45$18.00
09-16 06:23US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by October 31?BUY0.8$5.00
09-16 06:22Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?BUY0.4899999944$20.00
09-16 06:20US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?SELL0.998$20.51
09-07 20:39Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?BUY0.4839506165$88.00
09-07 20:34US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by October 31?BUY0.8006156391$70.00
09-07 20:32US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.8699999904$20.00
09-07 20:25Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?BUY0.4399999947$10.00
09-07 20:24Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?BUY0.75$20.00
09-07 20:23Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.6799999932$20.00
09-07 20:20Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7699999992$50.00
09-07 20:19US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.829999998$50.00
09-07 20:19Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?BUY0.9399999997$60.00
09-07 20:17Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?BUY0.7799999978$70.00
09-07 20:14SSI public model released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9299999997$100.00