0xc10B4d2ca933f56475c4cd2835820e35e76De3e0-1779136499551
0xc10b4d2ca933f56475c4cd2835820e35e76de3e0
- Realised P&L
- $-8.04
- Volume
- $20.5k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$81.35at 0.800Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
- +$50.65at 0.616Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in August?
- +$44.50at 0.782 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$33.68at 0.865Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
- +$18.80at 0.690Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 22:22 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | BUY | 0.45 | $18.00 |
| 09-16 06:23 | US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by October 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 06:22 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | BUY | 0.4899999944 | $20.00 |
| 09-16 06:20 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15? | SELL | 0.998 | $20.51 |
| 09-07 20:39 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | BUY | 0.4839506165 | $88.00 |
| 09-07 20:34 | US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by October 31? | BUY | 0.8006156391 | $70.00 |
| 09-07 20:32 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.8699999904 | $20.00 |
| 09-07 20:25 | Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999947 | $10.00 |
| 09-07 20:24 | Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $20.00 |
| 09-07 20:23 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999932 | $20.00 |
| 09-07 20:20 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $50.00 |
| 09-07 20:19 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.829999998 | $50.00 |
| 09-07 20:19 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? | BUY | 0.9399999997 | $60.00 |
| 09-07 20:17 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | BUY | 0.7799999978 | $70.00 |
| 09-07 20:14 | SSI public model released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999997 | $100.00 |