thanksmom
0xc0cdf9dd4d1c688f648d31636242537a37ac0aa9
- Realised P&L
- $6.4k
- Volume
- $1.06M
- Markets traded
- 114
- Open portfolio
- $63.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded114
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.952Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$1.5kat 0.936Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?
- +$1.3kat 0.834Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
- +$515.88at 0.992Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$472.61at 0.956Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 18:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.00 |
| 10-05 18:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.2k |
| 10-05 18:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.0k |
| 10-05 17:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.699 | $74.16 |
| 10-05 17:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.706 | $19.05 |
| 10-03 17:48 | Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.8k |
| 10-02 06:49 | Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.4k |
| 10-02 06:41 | Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.4k |
| 10-02 06:29 | Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.69 | $1.3k |
| 10-02 06:28 | Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.69 | $6.7k |
| 10-02 06:26 | Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.79 | $5.1k |
| 10-02 06:24 | Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.79 | $210.22 |
| 09-30 20:30 | Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $181.73 |
| 09-30 19:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 09-30 19:00 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $351.45 |