0xc0307bd41fa72c331900c55eccedf40328c9749e
- Realised P&L
- $-59.89
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 240
- Open portfolio
- $48.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded240
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.45at 0.358US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$11.86at 0.170Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?
- +$9.00at 0.250UFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$6.62at 0.188US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$6.50at 0.260Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 04:00 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.9569990746 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 03:08 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.9709999981 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 02:48 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.9439999773 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 02:29 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.937999955 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 00:55 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 00:22 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? | BUY | 0.9469999867 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 00:09 | Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.1169999042 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 23:32 | Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31? | BUY | 0.0409999622 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 23:20 | Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 18:18 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? | BUY | 0.9539999828 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 18:18 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31? | BUY | 0.9689999777 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 19:07 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 18:57 | Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 08:00 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 23:48 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.00 |