0xc0307bd41fa72c331900c55eccedf40328c9749e
0xc0307bd41fa72c331900c55eccedf40328c9749e
- Realised P&L
- $-55.61
- Volume
- $5.6k
- Markets traded
- 250
- Open portfolio
- $30.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded250
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.45at 0.358US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$11.86at 0.170Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?
- +$9.00at 0.250UFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$6.62at 0.188US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$6.50at 0.260Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 00:33 | Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 00:05 | Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:27 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:14 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 00:38 | LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 00:50 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 00:41 | Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 00:40 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.0959999194 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 00:05 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 00:27 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 04:00 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 22:45 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.99799901 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 19:41 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 12:05 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 07-30 04:00 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.9569990746 | $1.00 |