strashnyleytenant
0xc020ad8e6c50a4a742e6bfbd5e8aad87317ba53b
- Realised P&L
- $-664.98
- Volume
- $14.2k
- Markets traded
- 346
- Open portfolio
- $36.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded346
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.49at 0.310Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-05?
- +$7.64at 0.572LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
- +$7.64at 0.572Como: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Juan Pablo Varillas
- +$6.47at 0.612US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Quentin Halys
- +$6.18at 0.622LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 15:18 | GitHub.com critical incident by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999816 | $2.00 |
| 10-07 10:49 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 18:57 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $1.12 |
| 09-27 18:21 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.98 |
| 09-27 15:01 | Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting? | BUY | 0.026 | $2.08 |
| 09-22 15:18 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.4299999807 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 14:55 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 02:38 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7629999939 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 22:25 | Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | SELL | 0.51 | $1.96 |
| 09-21 21:16 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $2.13 |
| 09-21 18:42 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 13:49 | Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 06:50 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.299999985 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 05:16 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.9209999889 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 21:46 | Meta's Watermelon released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8959999713 | $2.00 |