0xc01a936DA915391b81cBd1A89dB24d32B4d654dD-1762603519512
0xc01a936da915391b81cbd1a89db24d32b4d654dd
- Realised P&L
- $72.22
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 347
- Open portfolio
- $465.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded347
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.79at 0.160Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$43.57at 0.640Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
- +$38.31at 0.830Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?
- +$21.49at 0.472Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 14?
- +$21.11at 0.810Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 15:42 | Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.40 |
| 09-13 15:41 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.72 | $14.40 |
| 09-13 15:06 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $49.75 |
| 09-02 15:44 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.68 | $20.40 |
| 09-02 15:43 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.963 | $28.89 |
| 09-02 15:42 | Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.963 | $28.89 |
| 07-20 13:29 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.986 | $49.30 |
| 07-20 13:28 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $45.50 |
| 07-05 13:10 | Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.845 | $25.35 |
| 07-03 16:04 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.82 | $16.40 |
| 07-03 16:00 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.334 | $6.68 |
| 07-03 15:58 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.949 | $47.45 |
| 04-27 13:04 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $27.30 |
| 04-27 13:04 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $28.50 |
| 04-27 13:03 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.976 | $29.28 |