0xC00De9ccf3E3585732337970814533Af52096CD3-1729266707235
0xc00de9ccf3e3585732337970814533af52096cd3
- Realised P&L
- $9.6k
- Volume
- $1.23M
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $39.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.9kat 0.502Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
- +$7.0kat 0.243Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
- +$3.7kat 0.113Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
- +$281.08at 0.771Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$19.40at 0.052Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 14:08 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.357 | $546.40 |
| 09-06 14:05 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1178124149 | $671.46 |
| 09-06 14:03 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.357 | $3.6k |
| 09-01 08:37 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.7478228335 | $2.0k |
| 08-14 15:12 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1520236018 | $800.00 |
| 08-14 15:10 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0938553193 | $3.1k |
| 08-14 06:48 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5850499572 | $900.00 |
| 08-14 06:46 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5537336585 | $800.00 |
| 08-14 06:40 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5749120916 | $900.00 |
| 08-14 06:21 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.4510271492 | $600.00 |
| 08-14 06:20 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.7779999988 | $100.00 |
| 08-14 06:20 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1705938653 | $2.9k |
| 08-13 17:59 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1550448629 | $1.1k |
| 08-13 17:58 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.8122220915 | $3.0k |
| 06-14 19:36 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.9k |