0x4174712BFcE3B4F45Fbb645a6035AE40b637ff57-1767610142227
0xbf6b9370e7b794c39ba346d35bbc6335c7b37199
- Realised P&L
- $-22.35
- Volume
- $21.8k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $37.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.43at 0.184UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$36.92at 0.130Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$27.00at 0.220US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
- +$17.82at 0.286Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes
- +$15.21at 0.520Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 21:37 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999994 | $10.00 |
| 06-26 11:08 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 26? | BUY | 0.2599999839 | $10.00 |
| 06-24 08:14 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June? | BUY | 0.2129999895 | $15.00 |
| 06-21 21:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 22? | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |
| 06-21 14:31 | Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? | BUY | 0.0192078675 | $20.00 |
| 06-19 11:27 | Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $46.92 |
| 06-19 11:27 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 22? | BUY | 0.2599999903 | $15.00 |
| 06-18 18:59 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 18? | SELL | 0.93 | $9.12 |
| 06-18 13:47 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 18? | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 06-18 12:30 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 18? | SELL | 0.48 | $15.56 |
| 06-18 05:33 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 18? | BUY | 0.1199999753 | $3.89 |
| 06-17 12:46 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 17? | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 06-16 22:14 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | BUY | 0.3099999959 | $45.00 |
| 06-16 15:47 | Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 06-16 15:46 | Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |