PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4174712BFcE3B4F45Fbb645a6035AE40b637ff57-1767610142227

0xbf6b9370e7b794c39ba346d35bbc6335c7b37199

Realised P&L
$-22.35
Volume
$21.8k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$37.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.1840.095$12.87$12.13
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6500.695$11.76+$0.76
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4100.445$4.34+$0.34
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.1030.018$3.05$13.89
UK Recession in 2026? · Yes0.4100.105$2.82$8.18
Japan recession in 2026? · Yes0.3500.065$2.04$8.96
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.3320.161$0.97$1.03
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June? · Yes0.2130.000$0.00$15.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.2800.000$0.00$2.80
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30? · No0.1300.000$0.00$10.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? · No0.6100.000$0.00$10.00
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? · No0.3100.000$0.00$45.00
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates in June? · No0.4000.000$0.00$4.00
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 26? · Down0.2600.000$0.00$10.00
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 16? · Down0.1800.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-30 21:37Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?BUY0.6099999994$10.00
06-26 11:08Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 26?BUY0.2599999839$10.00
06-24 08:14Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?BUY0.2129999895$15.00
06-21 21:32Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 22?BUY0.4199999832$5.00
06-21 14:31Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?BUY0.0192078675$20.00
06-19 11:27Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?SELL0.61$46.92
06-19 11:27Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 22?BUY0.2599999903$15.00
06-18 18:59Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 18?SELL0.93$9.12
06-18 13:47Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 18?BUY0.5099999796$5.00
06-18 12:30Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 18?SELL0.48$15.56
06-18 05:33Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 18?BUY0.1199999753$3.89
06-17 12:46Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 17?BUY0.5099999566$2.00
06-16 22:14Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?BUY0.3099999959$45.00
06-16 15:47Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?BUY0.1299999902$10.00
06-16 15:46Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?BUY0.29999997$5.00