PolyBot

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Traders

jiene

0xbf60b2fca6d2259338f6ca50eef9c192de0e8645

Realised P&L
$237.22
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$44.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar12.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.8470.988$11.66+$1.66
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · Yes0.9600.980$10.20+$0.20
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.7500.435$5.80$4.20
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.7270.840$5.78+$0.78
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9380.960$5.11+$0.11
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.7200.735$5.10+$0.10
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31? · Yes0.5000.255$1.02$0.98
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET · Up0.2580.000$0.00$20.00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET · Up0.3790.000$0.00$15.00
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET · Down0.1890.000$0.00$10.00
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score · No0.6800.000$0.00$10.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.4100.000$0.00$5.00
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET · Down0.3850.000$0.00$20.00
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET · Down0.1270.000$0.00$30.00
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027? · Yes0.8600.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 12:44Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.8467484135$10.00
08-11 08:25Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?BUY0.96$10.00
08-11 08:25Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.75$10.00
07-19 13:48Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4099999836$5.00
07-19 13:47Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.72699997$5.00
07-03 05:59Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.6799999946$10.00
06-21 14:56Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.86$5.00
06-21 14:56Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.9$10.00
06-21 14:55Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.7199999654$5.00
06-21 14:54Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.9379998721$5.00
06-08 06:37Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?BUY0.5$2.00
06-08 06:37MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?BUY0.985$2.00
06-08 06:36Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?BUY0.859999914$1.00
06-08 06:34Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 4 weeks or more?BUY0.95$5.00
06-08 06:32Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?BUY0.9069999929$5.00