gambler3341235
0xbe93f77ae96d18ef7b5c218da6c171516f00f3d7
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $5.2k
- Markets traded
- 140
- Open portfolio
- $17.75
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar27.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded140
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.586Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$13.96at 0.069Will Matt Eberflus be the next head coach fired?
- +$13.05at 0.180Another actor announced as next James Bond actor?
- +$11.40at 0.430Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$8.80at 0.120Trump wins 312-226 - swing state sweep
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 14:29 | Will USD be at least 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31? | BUY | 0.073109007 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 14:28 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.131 | $10.92 |
| 04-17 00:37 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 04-17 00:36 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $0.94 |
| 04-17 00:35 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.93 |
| 04-17 00:32 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 03-24 04:30 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 03-24 04:29 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.5809998902 | $2.00 |
| 03-24 04:25 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March? | SELL | 0.998 | $6.61 |
| 03-23 08:08 | Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 03-23 08:05 | US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30? | BUY | 0.4599999264 | $3.00 |
| 03-23 07:59 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 03-23 07:52 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March? | BUY | 0.1509998845 | $1.00 |
| 03-23 07:51 | US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $5.00 |
| 03-23 07:50 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | BUY | 0.3799999468 | $2.00 |