PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xbcaA5f089CFa7c9a2e008e3818C10476342e38cf-1781463274093

0xbcaa5f089cfa7c9a2e008e3818c10476342e38cf

Realised P&L
$7.91
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$34.26

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31? · Yes0.1190.022$17.17−$75.47
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by December 31? · Yes0.0900.100$5.56+$0.56
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1930.201$4.16+$0.16
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0170.014$4.12−$0.88
Natural Disaster in 2026? · Yes0.2900.105$3.26−$5.74
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · No0.0250.000$0.00−$2.00
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$1.01
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00−$3.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.0800.000$0.00−$5.00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 05:33Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?BUY0.1308196168$42.64
09-17 04:09Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?BUY0.1099999999$50.00
08-09 16:07Natural Disaster in 2026?BUY0.2899999842$9.00
08-09 16:03Will Netanyahu be pardoned by December 31?BUY0.0899999845$5.00
06-28 14:02Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1929999667$4.00
06-28 14:02Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0169999966$5.00
06-28 14:01Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?BUY0.0531147378$3.00
06-28 14:00Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0270000002$5.00
06-24 14:46Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?BUY0.0248837927$2.00
06-24 14:43Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0179999942$3.00
06-15 07:04Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?BUY0.1$1.01
06-15 07:01US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?BUY0.2699999806$10.00
06-15 07:00US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.08$5.00