0xBC14450db23085d1CBcF299f7de796836665FB55-1767868662093
0xbc14450db23085d1cbcf299f7de796836665fb55
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $39.8k
- Markets traded
- 743
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded743
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.68at 0.935Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 31?
- +$4.89at 0.878Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 8?
- +$4.84at 0.998Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
- +$4.53at 0.981Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 16?
- +$4.45at 0.949Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 14:33 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C or higher on October 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 10-14 14:31 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C or higher on October 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $37.96 |
| 10-14 14:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C or below on October 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 10-14 14:28 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.98 | $0.61 |
| 10-14 14:27 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $37.96 |
| 10-13 23:48 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 10-13 23:45 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 10-13 23:45 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.998 | $17.96 |
| 10-13 23:45 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-13 23:45 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C or below on October 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 10-13 23:44 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C or below on October 14? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 10-13 23:38 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.98 |
| 10-13 03:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 10-12 13:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $37.96 |
| 10-12 08:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $37.96 |