PolyBot

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Traders

willin14

0xbbf6ebc15b43bca81bbe1fc4b42a4949781c3e76

Realised P&L
$117.29
Volume
$39.1k
Markets traded
96
Open portfolio
$430.56

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded96
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration70.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · No0.9960.997$99.65+$0.05
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? · No0.9280.923$92.35$0.45
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? · No0.9400.935$46.75$0.25
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31? · No0.9400.930$46.50$0.50
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.860$43.00$0.50
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · Yes0.9930.990$35.64$0.11
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · No0.9930.984$29.52$0.27
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? · No0.9270.923$27.70$0.10
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? · Yes0.5500.315$9.45$7.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 02:56Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?BUY0.993$35.75
09-23 02:55Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?BUY0.927$27.81
09-23 02:52Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?BUY0.928$92.80
09-23 02:36Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?BUY0.94$47.00
09-23 02:35Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.87$43.50
09-22 03:46Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?BUY0.55$16.49
09-22 03:37Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?BUY0.94$47.00
09-22 03:13Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.996$99.60
09-22 03:05US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?BUY0.993$29.79
09-22 02:59Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 12°C or below on September 22?BUY0.99$7.59
09-22 02:58Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 14°C on September 22?BUY0.99$14.85
09-18 09:06Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 5°C or below on September 18?BUY0.9975117143$104.74
09-18 08:53Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 25°C or below on September 18?BUY0.999$24.98
09-18 08:51Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 15°C on September 18?BUY0.9787272727$13.46
09-18 08:46Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on September 18?BUY0.999$11.99