gct7.GaC
0xba34b29ddac35c59c4368b03ef7c5b8c9b7da2a1
- Realised P&L
- $-144.08
- Volume
- $7.4k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $404.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.57at 0.891Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
- +$15.75at 0.850Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$10.25at 0.160 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$10.04at 0.540Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$8.68at 0.800Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 13:32 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.585 | $17.55 |
| 09-28 13:32 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 8%-12%? | BUY | 0.089 | $2.67 |
| 09-28 13:32 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%? | BUY | 0.083 | $2.49 |
| 09-28 13:32 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 4%-8%? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.80 |
| 09-27 13:23 | Will the CAQ win 30 or more seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.50 |
| 09-27 13:23 | Will CAQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.9 | $19.23 |
| 09-22 12:49 | Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in September 2026? | BUY | 0.4612625 | $1.85 |
| 09-22 12:49 | Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in September 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.28 |
| 09-21 14:01 | Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.38 | $5.32 |
| 09-21 14:01 | Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.29 | $5.22 |
| 09-21 13:50 | Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.89 | $64.35 |
| 09-21 13:50 | Will PQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.079 | $5.71 |
| 09-21 13:36 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $16.67 |
| 09-21 13:36 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.47 |
| 09-21 13:36 | Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? | BUY | 0.979 | $73.75 |