KenanEvren
0xb8d6478ef9db74cf7b2803ec49ea95b9594c44ee
- Realised P&L
- $85.27
- Volume
- $28.5k
- Markets traded
- 162
- Open portfolio
- $289.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded162
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.64at 0.410Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
- +$14.50at 0.420US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
- +$14.40at 0.520Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$10.26at 0.487Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
- +$8.60at 0.570SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 09:41 | Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 09:40 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.488 | $4.88 |
| 09-15 09:39 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.171 | $1.71 |
| 09-14 12:14 | Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.73 | $7.30 |
| 09-14 09:26 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.11 | $7.70 |
| 09-13 21:50 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 09-13 19:19 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 11:02 | Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.7 | $7.00 |
| 09-10 08:39 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.90 |
| 09-10 08:35 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.163 | $1.14 |
| 09-10 08:35 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.099 | $1.98 |
| 09-10 08:34 | Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.04 |
| 09-10 08:34 | Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 08:33 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.026 | $1.04 |
| 09-10 08:32 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.42 | $6.30 |