KenanEvren
0xb8d6478ef9db74cf7b2803ec49ea95b9594c44ee
- Realised P&L
- $-51.68
- Volume
- $30.6k
- Markets traded
- 172
- Open portfolio
- $303.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded172
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.64at 0.410Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
- +$14.50at 0.420US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
- +$14.40at 0.520Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$10.26at 0.487Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
- +$8.60at 0.570SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 09:00 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 13:03 | Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.50 |
| 10-11 12:57 | Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by December 31? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 10-11 12:55 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 10-02 08:09 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.34 | $3.40 |
| 10-01 18:50 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $3.40 |
| 10-01 18:50 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.306 | $3.06 |
| 10-01 18:50 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.306 | $3.06 |
| 09-27 17:14 | Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.30 |
| 09-27 17:13 | Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:42 | Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:42 | Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:41 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.04 |
| 09-24 08:58 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.40 |
| 09-23 08:23 | Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.26 |