PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

BSZm6Gqb

0xb76d2470c0427becb9fbb8161d70e9e05f20636b

Realised P&L
$473.29
Volume
$298.8k
Markets traded
4,110
Open portfolio
$122.07

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,110
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · No0.9360.965$68.08+$1.98
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8030.971$14.56+$2.51
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-07 House seat? · Yes0.9050.989$9.88+$0.83
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8970.981$4.90+$0.42
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.8400.968$4.84+$0.64
AI bubble burst in 2026? · No0.7700.903$4.51+$0.67
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-08 House seat? · Yes0.8600.865$4.33+$0.03
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0750.098$2.74+$0.65
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%? · Yes0.3300.580$2.13+$0.92
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%? · No0.5800.420$2.10−$0.80
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2370.183$1.83−$0.54
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1860.123$1.48−$0.76
Will the Republican Party win the CA-01 House seat? · Yes0.1000.034$0.29−$0.57
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%? · Yes0.0700.003$0.14−$3.73
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-06 House seat? · Yes0.0900.011$0.13−$0.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 21:54Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 30?SELL0.553$8.85
10-18 14:28Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?BUY0.929$4.65
10-13 15:39Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 13?SELL0.391$1.96
10-12 09:51Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 12?SELL0.001$0.02
10-06 13:47Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 98°F or higher on October 6?SELL0.591$3.86
10-04 05:25Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 4?SELL0.677$3.52
10-03 01:48Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 3?SELL0.758$7.58
09-25 07:24Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C or higher on September 25?SELL0.557$2.79
09-20 19:56Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on September 21?SELL0.927$4.63
09-20 04:11Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 20?SELL0.894$4.47
08-31 14:29Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or higher on August 31?BUY0.996$4.98
08-31 03:01Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on August 31?SELL0.984$4.92
08-17 02:16Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 17?BUY0.998$4.99
06-17 07:08Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.895$4.47
05-17 14:48Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 18?BUY0.35$1.81