PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

BSZm6Gqb

0xb76d2470c0427becb9fbb8161d70e9e05f20636b

Realised P&L
$538.78
Volume
$268.4k
Markets traded
2,154
Open portfolio
$56.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,154
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8030.945$14.18+$2.13
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-07 House seat? · Yes0.9050.950$9.50+$0.45
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8970.961$4.80+$0.32
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.8400.915$4.58+$0.38
AI bubble burst in 2026? · No0.7700.822$4.11+$0.26
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-08 House seat? · Yes0.8600.795$3.98$0.32
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0750.128$3.57+$1.48
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%? · No0.5800.585$2.92+$0.02
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2370.207$2.07$0.30
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%? · Yes0.0700.037$2.07$1.80
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%? · Yes0.3300.415$1.53+$0.31
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1860.117$1.41$0.82
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-06 House seat? · Yes0.0900.065$0.78$0.30
Will the Republican Party win the CA-01 House seat? · Yes0.1000.034$0.29$0.57
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? · Yes0.0410.021$0.20$0.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-17 07:08Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.895$4.47
05-17 14:48Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 18?BUY0.35$1.81
05-17 13:43Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 18?BUY0.34$1.75
05-17 03:20Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 17?BUY0.4$2.06
05-17 03:19Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 18?BUY0.22$0.27
05-17 03:19Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 18?BUY0.36$1.86
05-17 02:28Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 18?BUY0.35$1.81
05-17 02:27Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 18?BUY0.22$1.14
05-17 02:27Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 18?BUY0.2$1.00
05-16 05:21Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 16?BUY0.999$5.00
05-15 23:19Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on May 18?BUY0.22$1.14
05-15 23:19Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on May 18?BUY0.22$0.41
05-15 22:38Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on May 16?BUY0.22$2.29
05-15 22:38Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on May 16?BUY0.22$2.29
05-15 22:38Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on May 16?BUY0.4$4.12