BSZm6Gqb
0xb76d2470c0427becb9fbb8161d70e9e05f20636b
- Realised P&L
- $473.29
- Volume
- $298.8k
- Markets traded
- 4,110
- Open portfolio
- $122.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,110
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$175.06at 0.971Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
- +$43.45at 0.001Will Lương Cường be the next President of Vietnam?
- +$40.19at 0.001Will Nguyễn Duy Ngọc be the next President of Vietnam?
- +$39.00at 0.001Will Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam?
- +$38.73at 0.870Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 21:54 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 30? | SELL | 0.553 | $8.85 |
| 10-18 14:28 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.929 | $4.65 |
| 10-13 15:39 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.391 | $1.96 |
| 10-12 09:51 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 12? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 10-06 13:47 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 98°F or higher on October 6? | SELL | 0.591 | $3.86 |
| 10-04 05:25 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.677 | $3.52 |
| 10-03 01:48 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.758 | $7.58 |
| 09-25 07:24 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C or higher on September 25? | SELL | 0.557 | $2.79 |
| 09-20 19:56 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on September 21? | SELL | 0.927 | $4.63 |
| 09-20 04:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.894 | $4.47 |
| 08-31 14:29 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or higher on August 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $4.98 |
| 08-31 03:01 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on August 31? | SELL | 0.984 | $4.92 |
| 08-17 02:16 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 06-17 07:08 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.895 | $4.47 |
| 05-17 14:48 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 18? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.81 |