PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

letsfackingo

0xb716a4df1efa25a87a8ba731e391cd9f2289f61c

Realised P&L
$3.7k
Volume
$405.0k
Markets traded
216
Open portfolio
$7.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded216
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.8900.954$1.9k+$128.87
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.9060.920$1.2k+$18.30
Next Token Sale on Coinbase by September 30, 2026? · No0.9370.975$883.26+$34.61
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · No0.8850.870$786.47$13.53
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3790.512$780.18+$203.53
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9510.956$574.90+$2.83
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9350.903$375.27$13.08
Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy? · No0.7300.750$308.22+$8.22
Next Token Sale on Coinbase by October 31, 2026? · No0.9060.915$141.02+$1.37
Next Token Sale on Coinbase by December 31, 2026? · No0.7310.715$62.20$1.37
Next Token Sale on Coinbase by November 30, 2026? · No0.7830.795$36.82+$0.53
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2028? · No0.6600.625$12.50$0.70
Will Alberts Smits win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy? · Yes0.0070.005$2.40$0.92
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1550.000$0.00$17.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 18:35Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.64$1.1k
09-15 18:35Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?SELL0.996$1.2k
09-15 18:34Next Token Sale on Coinbase by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9156521739$105.30
09-15 18:33Next Token Sale on Coinbase by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9572808525$83.54
09-09 15:51Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?BUY0.996$1.1k
08-19 17:23Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?BUY0.7299999995$300.00
08-19 17:21Will Alberts Smits win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?BUY0.0069187365$3.32
08-14 00:28Next Token Sale on Coinbase by September 30, 2026?BUY0.93$200.00
08-14 00:28Next Token Sale on Coinbase by September 30, 2026?BUY0.93$200.00
08-14 00:28Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.92$287.11
08-14 00:27Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.52$312.00
08-08 16:47Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.6$1.0k
08-08 16:47Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9062714001$1.2k
08-08 16:47Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.9714469633$1.8k
08-08 16:17Next Token Sale on Coinbase by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9825234047$91.31