letsfackingo
0xb716a4df1efa25a87a8ba731e391cd9f2289f61c
- Realised P&L
- $3.7k
- Volume
- $405.0k
- Markets traded
- 216
- Open portfolio
- $7.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded216
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$700.00at 0.300Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$588.35at 0.780Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$413.51at 0.840Will Xavier Villeneuve be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?
- +$320.46at 0.872Kash Patel out by May 31?
- +$206.80at 0.852Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:35 | Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.64 | $1.1k |
| 09-15 18:35 | Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $1.2k |
| 09-15 18:34 | Next Token Sale on Coinbase by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9156521739 | $105.30 |
| 09-15 18:33 | Next Token Sale on Coinbase by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9572808525 | $83.54 |
| 09-09 15:51 | Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.1k |
| 08-19 17:23 | Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy? | BUY | 0.7299999995 | $300.00 |
| 08-19 17:21 | Will Alberts Smits win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy? | BUY | 0.0069187365 | $3.32 |
| 08-14 00:28 | Next Token Sale on Coinbase by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $200.00 |
| 08-14 00:28 | Next Token Sale on Coinbase by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $200.00 |
| 08-14 00:28 | Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $287.11 |
| 08-14 00:27 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $312.00 |
| 08-08 16:47 | Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.0k |
| 08-08 16:47 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9062714001 | $1.2k |
| 08-08 16:47 | Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9714469633 | $1.8k |
| 08-08 16:17 | Next Token Sale on Coinbase by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9825234047 | $91.31 |