Insight314
0xb57d496694ea03ec4a1173a074b2f13150795bc1
- Realised P&L
- $105.07
- Volume
- $9.7k
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$85.47at 0.416Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
- +$60.93at 0.532Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$44.52at 0.310Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?
- +$35.69at 0.752Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$31.93at 0.671US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 19:38 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 09-13 20:31 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.00 |
| 09-13 18:56 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $9.90 |
| 09-11 08:21 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $5.90 |
| 09-11 08:20 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $16.80 |
| 09-11 08:19 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $8.40 |
| 09-10 22:43 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $72.80 |
| 09-03 05:08 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $83.00 |
| 09-01 21:30 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $24.30 |
| 09-01 21:28 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 09-01 21:21 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $26.10 |
| 09-01 21:20 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $30.50 |
| 09-01 21:17 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $11.70 |
| 08-28 19:24 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $34.43 |
| 08-28 19:23 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $68.86 |