0xb571f7ad680bf66b5e9a5e43203dd032f5c37b17
0xb571f7ad680bf66b5e9a5e43203dd032f5c37b17
- Realised P&L
- $-1.65
- Volume
- $280.39
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $4.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.315 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.610 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.745 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.675 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.331 | $0.41 | −$0.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.33at 0.280Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
- +$4.66at 0.306Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?
- +$3.08at 0.400Will Trump say "Trump" during Friday roundtable?
- +$2.70at 0.432Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
- +$2.59at 0.442Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 00:41 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 16:30 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 16:27 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 08:18 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 23:55 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in September? | BUY | 0.777 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 23:56 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 15:54 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 06:33 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 22:31 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 12:49 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 12:49 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 04:48 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7529999548 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 18:53 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.299999985 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 10:52 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 02:52 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |