PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xB4BA5CA84E9B4818566792Ac3A7c4d0CB6a04cEd-1776194410634

0xb4ba5ca84e9b4818566792ac3a7c4d0cb6a04ced

Realised P&L
$-367.24
Volume
$38.2k
Markets traded
139
Open portfolio
$3.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded139
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? · No0.5290.775$697.49+$220.89
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · No0.6140.805$456.35+$108.35
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · No0.5300.840$316.98+$116.98
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.4370.915$286.18+$149.53
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30? · No0.7520.975$269.66+$61.69
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.7260.815$269.45+$29.45
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? · No0.6500.485$194.00$66.00
Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? · No0.7600.930$186.00+$34.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7000.835$167.00+$27.00
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? · No0.8400.979$116.49+$16.49
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? · No0.8100.935$115.43+$15.43
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.3010.208$69.30$30.70
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? · No0.4530.145$63.97$135.96
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1480.221$7.45+$2.45
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9800.981$5.00+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-22 18:54Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?BUY0.4099999976$100.00
07-13 20:15Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?BUY0.897$69.81
07-10 15:08Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?BUY0.75$15.75
07-10 14:53Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.74$148.00
07-10 14:51Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.8217821779$200.00
07-07 20:22Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?BUY0.5991707465$100.00
07-07 20:17Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?BUY0.82$164.00
07-07 20:02U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.8$86.54
07-04 12:02Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?BUY0.87$20.65
07-02 17:34Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.7624999985$100.00
07-02 17:33Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?BUY0.8799999996$100.00
07-02 16:31Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?BUY0.7382282454$100.00
07-02 16:25Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.8599999997$100.00
07-02 13:29Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?BUY0.64$21.12
07-01 20:06Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?SELL0.24$120.00