0xb46cf1de5abecb8b74885b373f024bd95295c34d
0xb46cf1de5abecb8b74885b373f024bd95295c34d
- Realised P&L
- $-69.62
- Volume
- $24.8k
- Markets traded
- 150
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded150
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.15at 0.308Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?
- +$29.00at 0.969US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?
- +$23.00at 0.790Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
- +$21.12at 0.640Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?
- +$17.38at 0.712Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 05:53 | Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.147 | $2.94 |
| 09-20 17:19 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.278 | $2.78 |
| 09-04 21:42 | Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 08-29 23:35 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.194 | $1.16 |
| 08-28 17:44 | Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.096 | $1.06 |
| 07-13 09:47 | Will "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $25m at auction? | BUY | 0.95 | $266.00 |