0x33333333333
0xb425474b8254340c45febfbf670877a450f7ed54
- Realised P&L
- $-764.18
- Volume
- $37.5k
- Markets traded
- 353
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded353
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$74.29at 0.245Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?
- +$56.18at 0.949Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
- +$45.91at 0.954Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?
- +$37.59at 0.762Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
- +$34.69at 0.884Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 03:05 | Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.78 | $15.60 |
| 11-02 02:17 | Raptors vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.68 | $6.80 |
| 11-01 14:20 | US x North Korea diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $2.10 |
| 11-01 14:11 | Will CCTV broadcast another Real Madrid match in 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $88.00 |
| 11-01 14:11 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $48.00 |
| 11-01 14:08 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 08:21 | Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 08:13 | Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 07:37 | Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.185 | $1.85 |
| 11-01 05:26 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.989 | $98.90 |
| 11-01 05:25 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.988 | $19.75 |
| 11-01 05:15 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.992 | $198.40 |
| 11-01 03:24 | Will Trump raise tariffs on Canada by October 31? | SELL | 0.201 | $4.02 |
| 11-01 03:24 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 10-25 02:22 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $83.00 |