PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x33333333333

0xb425474b8254340c45febfbf670877a450f7ed54

Realised P&L
$-764.18
Volume
$37.5k
Markets traded
353
Open portfolio
$2.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded353
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes0.7030.845$971.73+$163.15
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? · Yes0.7680.865$441.15+$49.25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.9910.991$317.11+$0.06
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9510.980$293.85+$8.55
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by October 31? · No0.8800.996$199.10+$23.10
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · No0.8350.865$95.15+$3.25
Will CCTV broadcast another Real Madrid match in 2026? · No0.8800.850$85.00−$3.00
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un by November 30, 2026? · No0.9600.925$46.25−$1.75
China ballistic missile launch by December 31? · No0.8000.845$42.25+$2.25
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.6300.655$36.02+$1.38
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.2400.305$33.55+$7.15
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? · Yes0.7800.765$15.30−$0.30
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? · No0.8800.944$9.44+$0.64
Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? · Yes0.3400.655$6.55+$3.15
US imposes new sanctions on China by November 30, 2026? · No0.6800.730$2.28+$0.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 03:05Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?BUY0.78$15.60
11-02 02:17Raptors vs. LakersBUY0.68$6.80
11-01 14:20US x North Korea diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.21$2.10
11-01 14:11Will CCTV broadcast another Real Madrid match in 2026?BUY0.88$88.00
11-01 14:11Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un by November 30, 2026?BUY0.96$48.00
11-01 14:08Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?SELL0.15$15.00
11-01 08:21Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?BUY0.001$1.00
11-01 08:13Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?BUY0.001$1.00
11-01 07:37Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?BUY0.185$1.85
11-01 05:26US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.989$98.90
11-01 05:25US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.988$19.75
11-01 05:15US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.992$198.40
11-01 03:24Will Trump raise tariffs on Canada by October 31?SELL0.201$4.02
11-01 03:24Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.89$8.90
10-25 02:22Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.83$83.00