LJO
0xb4015a4b57560d65eba9ca6f46691ef901de03ec
- Realised P&L
- $-41.61
- Volume
- $6.7k
- Markets traded
- 158
- Open portfolio
- $17.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded158
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.69at 0.130Will Trump designate ANTIFA a terrorist organization by September 30?
- +$2.48at 0.288Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?
- +$1.33at 0.430Will CZ return to Binance by December 31?
- +$1.31at 0.6042025 August third hottest on record?
- +$1.25at 0.800Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 21:00 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.839999952 | $1.40 |
| 06-22 22:59 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.5099999752 | $6.16 |
| 06-10 22:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.9399999906 | $4.00 |
| 06-10 22:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | SELL | 0.96 | $0.16 |
| 06-10 22:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | SELL | 0.95 | $3.84 |
| 06-10 22:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $4.00 |
| 05-19 14:31 | Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? | BUY | 0.7599993312 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 14:29 | Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $10B by June 30? | BUY | 0.809999602 | $1.16 |
| 05-08 23:50 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.9059995256 | $1.86 |
| 04-25 15:05 | Will Trump say "Ceasefire" this week? (April 27 - May 3) | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $0.99 |
| 04-25 15:05 | Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.92 | $0.99 |
| 04-16 17:55 | Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31? | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $0.96 |
| 04-16 16:43 | Will "Thrash" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.9779999947 | $1.10 |
| 04-16 16:42 | Will Claude Opus 4.7 by Anthropic debut at a score of at least 1480? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 04-16 16:42 | Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |