Raskell
0xb37aa8834f9baefc6fb3312f59df8ddf0348f1b1
- Realised P&L
- $50.0k
- Volume
- $2.45M
- Markets traded
- 936
- Open portfolio
- $9.5k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded936
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.0kat 0.005Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?
- +$4.8kat 0.400France vs. England: O/U 6.5
- +$4.4kat 0.519Will a 6.0+ earthquake occur in Japan by August 31?
- +$4.0kat 0.017US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
- +$2.9kat 0.692Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 02:24 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | SELL | 0.0218366502 | $146.99 |
| 09-21 02:23 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | SELL | 0.1127294472 | $260.15 |
| 09-21 00:16 | Israel military action against Lebanon on September 18? | BUY | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 09-20 22:44 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $204.88 |
| 09-20 22:44 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2293406648 | $323.66 |
| 09-20 22:44 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 | BUY | 0.0697101819 | $442.60 |
| 09-20 22:40 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099871631 | $1.6k |
| 09-20 22:00 | Commanders vs. Cowboys: O/U 52.5 | BUY | 0.45 | $405.00 |
| 09-20 21:52 | Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) | BUY | 0.29 | $203.00 |
| 09-20 21:42 | Spread: Cowboys (-5.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 09-20 21:40 | Spread: Cowboys (-5.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 09-20 21:40 | Spread: Cowboys (-5.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $514.50 |
| 09-20 15:46 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.996 | $1.99 |
| 09-20 15:46 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.996 | $5.98 |
| 09-20 14:17 | AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? | SELL | 0.9601135292 | $1.8k |