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Traders

Raskell

0xb37aa8834f9baefc6fb3312f59df8ddf0348f1b1

Realised P&L
$50.0k
Volume
$2.45M
Markets traded
936
Open portfolio
$9.5k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded936
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2150.220$2.2k+$47.76
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 18? · No0.5680.630$1.8k+$173.00
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? (copy) · No0.8600.870$1.1k+$13.00
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.6390.570$872.54$105.04
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2600.285$573.71+$50.38
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7810.820$494.12+$23.46
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.045$305.10$33.90
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.7520.605$302.50$73.50
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · Yes0.4470.245$294.00$242.00
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · Yes0.3320.105$288.47$624.57
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · No0.7360.610$227.49$47.08
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 · Yes0.0700.033$206.35$236.25
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3820.165$198.00$261.00
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? · Yes0.4770.125$155.95$439.31
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.4800.425$153.27$19.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 02:24Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?SELL0.0218366502$146.99
09-21 02:23Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?SELL0.1127294472$260.15
09-21 00:16Israel military action against Lebanon on September 18?BUY0.85$17.00
09-20 22:44Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.24$204.88
09-20 22:44Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.2293406648$323.66
09-20 22:44Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026BUY0.0697101819$442.60
09-20 22:40Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.2099871631$1.6k
09-20 22:00Commanders vs. Cowboys: O/U 52.5BUY0.45$405.00
09-20 21:52Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)BUY0.29$203.00
09-20 21:42Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)BUY0.5$50.00
09-20 21:40Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)BUY0.49$2.45
09-20 21:40Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)BUY0.49$514.50
09-20 15:46Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.996$1.99
09-20 15:46Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.996$5.98
09-20 14:17AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?SELL0.9601135292$1.8k