0xb31a21964BED39D2F9c10da13D737F545185153c-1782384744205
0xb31a21964bed39d2f9c10da13d737f545185153c
- Realised P&L
- $-15.52
- Volume
- $227.99
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $39.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration37.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70? · Yes | 0.982 | 0.969 | $14.80 | −$0.20 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by August 31, 2026? · No | 0.940 | 1.000 | $10.64 | +$0.64 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No | 0.950 | 0.996 | $10.48 | +$0.48 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.115 | 0.055 | $2.38 | −$2.62 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.019 | $1.19 | −$3.81 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 28, 2026? · No | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 27, 2026? · No | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25 11:33 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 06-25 11:33 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 06-25 11:22 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999774 | $10.00 |
| 06-25 11:17 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 06-25 11:13 | Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70? | BUY | 0.9819999995 | $15.00 |
| 06-25 11:08 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1153845959 | $5.00 |
| 06-25 11:06 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |