PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb31a21964BED39D2F9c10da13D737F545185153c-1782384744205

0xb31a21964bed39d2f9c10da13d737f545185153c

Realised P&L
$-15.52
Volume
$227.99
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$39.49

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration37.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70? · Yes0.9820.969$14.80$0.20
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by August 31, 2026? · No0.9401.000$10.64+$0.64
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9500.996$10.48+$0.48
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1150.055$2.38$2.62
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0800.019$1.19$3.81
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 28, 2026? · No0.1000.000$0.00$5.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 27, 2026? · No0.1400.000$0.00$5.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-25 11:33Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 27, 2026?BUY0.1399999787$5.00
06-25 11:33Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 28, 2026?BUY0.1$5.00
06-25 11:22Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9399999774$10.00
06-25 11:17Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.08$5.00
06-25 11:13Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?BUY0.9819999995$15.00
06-25 11:08Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1153845959$5.00
06-25 11:06Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.95$10.00