0xb30F96feE2db63f158dE9139A1717133cDA01391-1778163263704
0xb30f96fee2db63f158de9139a1717133cda01391
- Realised P&L
- $-80.65
- Volume
- $71.1k
- Markets traded
- 305
- Open portfolio
- $46.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded305
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.95at 0.001Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%?
- +$5.63at 0.155Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.98at 0.127Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- +$1.63at 0.380US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$1.22at 0.450Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 11:44 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9599996928 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 11:44 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.85 | $0.99 |
| 09-18 09:50 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 09:50 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $1.01 |
| 09-18 09:50 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 09:50 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.96 | $1.01 |
| 09-18 08:16 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 08:16 | US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.9569991569 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 08:16 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8439993754 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 08:16 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | SELL | 0.996 | $1.02 |
| 09-18 08:15 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $0.73 |
| 09-18 08:15 | Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.035 | $0.22 |
| 09-18 08:15 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.19 |
| 09-18 08:15 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.86 |
| 09-02 16:59 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |