PolyBot

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Traders

0xb30F96feE2db63f158dE9139A1717133cDA01391-1778163263704

0xb30f96fee2db63f158de9139a1717133cda01391

Realised P&L
$-80.65
Volume
$71.1k
Markets traded
305
Open portfolio
$46.20

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded305
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration92.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher? · Yes0.0010.009$9.50+$8.50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8700.960$3.31+$0.31
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9050.945$3.14+$0.13
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9350.955$3.08+$0.06
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7900.935$2.37+$0.37
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9340.935$2.14+$0.00
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.975$2.06+$0.07
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.945$2.01+$0.01
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.8270.855$1.30+$0.04
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? · No0.8200.963$1.17+$0.17
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.9230.953$1.12+$0.04
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.8650.935$1.11+$0.08
NATO article 5 before 2027? · No0.8500.934$1.10+$0.10
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · No0.8900.935$1.05+$0.05
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9640.971$1.03+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 11:44Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9599996928$1.00
09-18 11:44Iran leadership change by December 31?SELL0.85$0.99
09-18 09:50Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.59999988$1.00
09-18 09:50US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?SELL0.9$1.01
09-18 09:50Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
09-18 09:50Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL0.96$1.01
09-18 08:16US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.889999911$1.00
09-18 08:16US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?BUY0.9569991569$1.00
09-18 08:16Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.8439993754$1.00
09-18 08:16Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?SELL0.996$1.02
09-18 08:15Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?SELL0.22$0.73
09-18 08:15Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?SELL0.035$0.22
09-18 08:15Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?SELL0.07$0.19
09-18 08:15Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?SELL0.06$0.86
09-02 16:59Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.25$1.00