0xb29484920f6a499157327c1473e7ea8ffd1fa90c
- Realised P&L
- $4.89
- Volume
- $426.09
- Markets traded
- 184
- Open portfolio
- $105.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded184
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.20at 0.735Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?
- +$3.76at 0.210UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$1.16at 0.462England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$0.85at 0.540Rainbow Six Siege: Fnatic vs Heretics (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 1 Group Stage
- +$0.75at 0.570Will Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 12:13 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 12:13 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0409999622 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 15:32 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 07:01 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0749999325 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 03:46 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 03:46 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5699994984 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 18:20 | Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 18:19 | Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 15:04 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.7349999732 | $19.76 |
| 07-19 15:04 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.7349999938 | $2.97 |
| 07-19 09:49 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | BUY | 0.7899999921 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 09:49 | Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | BUY | 0.9319999441 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 16:29 | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9709999981 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 10:08 | ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 10:06 | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.00 |