0xb29484920f6a499157327c1473e7ea8ffd1fa90c
0xb29484920f6a499157327c1473e7ea8ffd1fa90c
- Realised P&L
- $2.65
- Volume
- $693.36
- Markets traded
- 268
- Open portfolio
- $161.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded268
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.89at 0.745Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?
- +$3.74at 0.215UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$1.14at 0.475England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$0.90at 0.530Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?
- +$0.85at 0.540US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 14:59 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 16:11 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 07:29 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.6109998411 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 07:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 19-25? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 07:26 | Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.69999972 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 07:25 | US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | BUY | 0.829999502 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 07:23 | France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.987999996 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 07:23 | France declares state of emergency by October 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.987999996 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 07:20 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | BUY | 0.7299994744 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 11:43 | Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? | BUY | 0.9659999845 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 20:18 | Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? | BUY | 0.9629996283 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 20:17 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.9739999922 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 20:16 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.937999955 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 13:41 | US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 13:36 | Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026? | BUY | 0.9199995952 | $1.00 |