0xb29484920f6a499157327c1473e7ea8ffd1fa90c
- Realised P&L
- $6.88
- Volume
- $640.87
- Markets traded
- 241
- Open portfolio
- $166.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded241
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.89at 0.745Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?
- +$3.74at 0.215UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$1.14at 0.475England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$0.90at 0.530Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?
- +$0.85at 0.540US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 07:14 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.9869992459 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 19:16 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 05:16 | Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.9859999882 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 05:16 | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.9299997117 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 05:15 | Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 05:14 | OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31? | BUY | 0.8299992198 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 05:13 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $700 in September? | BUY | 0.896999173 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 19:24 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | BUY | 0.962999557 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 19:23 | US strike on Mexico by December 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 19:23 | Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 11:47 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 11:46 | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | BUY | 0.0309999705 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 11:45 | UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? | BUY | 0.9519991546 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 11:45 | Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9559999694 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 11:45 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9399996992 | $1.00 |