PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xb29484920f6a499157327c1473e7ea8ffd1fa90c

0xb29484920f6a499157327c1473e7ea8ffd1fa90c

Realised P&L
$2.65
Volume
$693.36
Markets traded
268
Open portfolio
$161.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded268
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5490.795$4.34+$1.34
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.9330.969$3.11+$0.11
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No0.9060.925$3.06+$0.06
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? · No0.7420.960$2.59+$0.59
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes0.3300.845$2.56+$1.56
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? · No0.9410.976$2.07+$0.07
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9450.980$2.07+$0.07
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.9300.945$2.03+$0.03
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9490.953$2.01+$0.01
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · No0.9660.970$2.01+$0.01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8350.825$1.98−$0.02
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? · No0.9300.915$1.97−$0.03
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? · No0.8540.835$1.95−$0.05
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.8820.861$1.95−$0.05
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5100.978$1.92+$0.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 14:59Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.92$1.00
10-21 16:11Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
10-20 07:29Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.6109998411$1.00
10-20 07:27Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 19-25?BUY0.5399999568$1.00
10-20 07:26Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?BUY0.69999972$1.00
10-20 07:25US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?BUY0.829999502$1.00
10-20 07:23France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026?BUY0.987999996$1.00
10-20 07:23France declares state of emergency by October 21, 2026?BUY0.987999996$1.00
10-20 07:20Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?BUY0.7299994744$1.00
10-17 11:43Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?BUY0.9659999845$1.00
10-16 20:18Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?BUY0.9629996283$1.00
10-16 20:17Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?BUY0.9739999922$1.00
10-16 20:16Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.937999955$1.00
10-07 13:41US x Cuba military clash in 2026?BUY0.859999914$1.00
10-07 13:36Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026?BUY0.9199995952$1.00