PolyBot

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Traders

patysaurus

0xb1b7b5fa6a5c2cee66131ba9dddc082239fd0373

Realised P&L
$495.43
Volume
$10.2k
Markets traded
83
Open portfolio
$60.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded83
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration69.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.1500.875$17.50+$14.50
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.1560.135$5.67$0.87
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1600.165$4.95+$0.15
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.0990.065$4.66$2.45
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0750.055$4.56$1.71
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? · Yes0.0370.029$4.13$1.05
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? · Yes0.0690.073$3.65+$0.20
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · Yes0.0910.045$3.45$3.55
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · No0.5000.840$3.36+$1.36
Iran coup attempt by December 31? · Yes0.1470.095$1.93$1.07
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? · Yes0.1150.090$1.81$0.49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0770.041$1.65$1.46
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? · Yes0.1110.040$1.65$2.90
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.7200.455$0.67$0.39
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026? · Yes0.0700.045$0.64$0.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-24 16:27Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.08$2.00
08-13 02:35Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.1$3.00
08-07 08:39Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?BUY0.025$2.00
08-07 08:38Will Luka Modric attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?BUY0.1299999627$3.00
08-05 05:40Will anyone say "Rick" during President Curtis E3 S1?BUY0.1299999467$2.00
08-03 01:07Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.1$5.00
08-03 01:02Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.0699999874$5.00
07-29 07:49Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?BUY0.037$0.01
07-23 23:24Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.0599999724$2.00
07-23 23:20Will anyone say "Drama" during Rick and Morty E10 S9?BUY0.07$2.87
07-23 23:19Will anyone say "Rick" 20+ times during Rick and Morty E10 S9?BUY0.15$3.84
07-23 11:50Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
07-23 11:34Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?BUY0.06$3.00
07-23 11:33Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.1$1.00
07-23 11:27Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.1262484013$2.11