patysaurus
0xb1b7b5fa6a5c2cee66131ba9dddc082239fd0373
- Realised P&L
- $495.43
- Volume
- $10.2k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $60.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$447.22at 0.009Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
- +$50.84at 0.290Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$42.27at 0.106US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
- +$21.63at 0.155Will anyone say "Rick" 20+ times during Rick and Morty E10 S9?
- +$17.77at 0.069Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 16:27 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 08-13 02:35 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 08-07 08:39 | Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.025 | $2.00 |
| 08-07 08:38 | Will Luka Modric attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.1299999627 | $3.00 |
| 08-05 05:40 | Will anyone say "Rick" during President Curtis E3 S1? | BUY | 0.1299999467 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 01:07 | Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 01:02 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 07:49 | Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? | BUY | 0.037 | $0.01 |
| 07-23 23:24 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.0599999724 | $2.00 |
| 07-23 23:20 | Will anyone say "Drama" during Rick and Morty E10 S9? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.87 |
| 07-23 23:19 | Will anyone say "Rick" 20+ times during Rick and Morty E10 S9? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.84 |
| 07-23 11:50 | Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 11:34 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 07-23 11:33 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 11:27 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.1262484013 | $2.11 |