Zelenearn0
0xb04a46908c7cd7e62acbbbf08ec6e395336bacfc
- Realised P&L
- $-5.6k
- Volume
- $1.69M
- Markets traded
- 1,167
- Open portfolio
- $4.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,167
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.769Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
- +$906.36at 0.051Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
- +$643.30at 0.0810 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
- +$602.56at 0.719Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
- +$575.35at 0.205US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 12:23 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $26.18 |
| 11-01 12:07 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.018 | $15.10 |
| 11-01 09:46 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | SELL | 0.13 | $9.67 |
| 11-01 09:44 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | SELL | 0.085 | $2.08 |
| 11-01 09:28 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $18.00 |
| 11-01 09:26 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.1599065007 | $365.14 |
| 11-01 00:41 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $32.40 |
| 10-30 22:13 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.32 |
| 10-30 22:02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $0.38 |
| 10-30 00:01 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.218 | $36.00 |
| 10-29 23:17 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.2500964946 | $19.62 |
| 10-29 23:15 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | SELL | 0.0890888368 | $32.71 |
| 10-29 23:14 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | SELL | 0.0875983115 | $6.43 |
| 10-29 22:48 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | BUY | 0.9705 | $58.23 |
| 10-29 22:48 | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | BUY | 0.7016866667 | $84.20 |