BTCisMYlove
0xac907f33498dc8a1617d0e7a9d3f7d91debe5d06
- Realised P&L
- $-14.2k
- Volume
- $520.5k
- Markets traded
- 247
- Open portfolio
- $455.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded247
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.270Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$1.9kat 0.801Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
- +$1.5kat 0.633MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.500US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$1.2kat 0.644US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 15:52 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 06-18 15:51 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 06-18 15:51 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 06-17 04:10 | Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $13.05 |
| 06-14 02:04 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.5617747316 | $4.5k |
| 06-13 20:51 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.5899999675 | $2.00 |
| 06-12 11:17 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.15 | $85.47 |
| 06-12 03:01 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.149 | $91.27 |
| 06-12 02:58 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.91 | $6.37 |
| 06-05 15:10 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.3599999993 | $190.00 |
| 06-05 15:10 | Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | SELL | 0.9550945592 | $196.96 |
| 05-29 06:43 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.5980563139 | $40.00 |
| 05-28 15:37 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | SELL | 0.9140339807 | $1.0k |
| 05-27 10:34 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.6199999999 | $2.3k |
| 05-27 04:21 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.673 | $1.36 |