PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kenzy555

0xab080e53b14a8e601e95c01c8197fc3ae95f7aaa

Realised P&L
$-11.35
Volume
$153.0k
Markets traded
104
Open portfolio
$60.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded104
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3260.161$14.92−$15.25
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1950.079$11.30−$16.82
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? · No0.1630.253$10.86+$3.86
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.7000.925$4.63+$1.13
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027? · Yes0.0010.002$4.43+$1.48
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0070.009$4.25+$0.75
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9000.829$4.14−$0.36
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.7300.793$3.97+$0.32
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · No0.3300.060$2.10−$9.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 21:32Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.007$3.50
05-02 19:19Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?BUY0.1630360133$7.00
12-13 20:59Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?BUY0.33$11.55
12-07 21:14Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.18$18.00
12-07 16:50Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?SELL0.01384$6.92
12-06 22:20NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?BUY0.85$4.25
12-06 22:17Will Daniel Baluta finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?BUY0.8$8.00
12-04 16:29Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?SELL0.513$23.09
11-19 21:15Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 21?BUY0.04$1.20
11-19 21:14Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?BUY0.35$10.50
11-19 20:51Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?SELL0.153979$30.80
11-17 07:35Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?SELL0.002$2.00
11-16 20:16Will Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google this year?SELL0.001$0.90
11-15 20:34Will Ghost of Yotei win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?SELL0.007$0.70
11-05 22:07Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?SELL0.11$0.88