kenzy555
0xab080e53b14a8e601e95c01c8197fc3ae95f7aaa
- Realised P&L
- $-11.35
- Volume
- $153.0k
- Markets traded
- 104
- Open portfolio
- $60.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded104
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.326 | 0.161 | $14.92 | −$15.25 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.195 | 0.079 | $11.30 | −$16.82 |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? · No | 0.163 | 0.253 | $10.86 | +$3.86 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No | 0.700 | 0.925 | $4.63 | +$1.13 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.002 | $4.43 | +$1.48 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.009 | $4.25 | +$0.75 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.900 | 0.829 | $4.14 | −$0.36 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.730 | 0.793 | $3.97 | +$0.32 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · No | 0.330 | 0.060 | $2.10 | −$9.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$207.22at 0.489Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$53.51at 0.004Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
- +$45.50at 0.002Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
- +$21.60at 0.003Will Călin Georgescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
- +$15.25at 0.390Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.10ºC in August 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 21:32 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $3.50 |
| 05-02 19:19 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | BUY | 0.1630360133 | $7.00 |
| 12-13 20:59 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.33 | $11.55 |
| 12-07 21:14 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.18 | $18.00 |
| 12-07 16:50 | Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | SELL | 0.01384 | $6.92 |
| 12-06 22:20 | NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 12-06 22:17 | Will Daniel Baluta finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election? | BUY | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 12-04 16:29 | Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | SELL | 0.513 | $23.09 |
| 11-19 21:15 | Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 21? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.20 |
| 11-19 21:14 | Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30? | BUY | 0.35 | $10.50 |
| 11-19 20:51 | Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31? | SELL | 0.153979 | $30.80 |
| 11-17 07:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November? | SELL | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 11-16 20:16 | Will Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.90 |
| 11-15 20:34 | Will Ghost of Yotei win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.70 |
| 11-05 22:07 | Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.88 |