PolyBot

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Traders

ANGGGuess

0xab01674c1c52d980ad4db875774dcde04eee2558

Realised P&L
$637.58
Volume
$398.1k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$221.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9150.984$68.3k+$4.8k
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.978$38.7k+$1.5k
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.9050.966$22.0k+$1.4k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7400.825$17.0k+$1.8k
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.8840.955$16.7k+$1.2k
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.983$14.7k+$481.39
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9100.955$14.0k+$661.55
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No0.9560.981$8.6k+$222.19
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No0.8650.925$7.5k+$487.08
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · No0.9100.935$5.3k+$141.64
Russia coup attempt in 2026? · No0.9360.968$3.1k+$100.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1500.165$2.5k+$228.62
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.920$1.9k+$40.28
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4200.255$605.59−$391.61
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.3000.105$442.34−$821.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-03 14:55Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.95$14.9k
09-03 14:54Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?BUY0.87$4.3k
09-03 14:54Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.999$18.4k
09-03 14:52Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?BUY0.8580641996$2.8k
08-17 12:41Russia coup attempt in 2026?BUY0.94$1.9k
08-17 12:39Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.94$16.0k
08-17 12:39Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.22$2.9k
08-05 20:50Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.91$2.3k
08-05 20:50US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?BUY0.91$13.9k
08-05 20:49China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9$1.8k
08-05 20:48US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?BUY0.91$182.91
08-05 20:48Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?BUY0.95$1.7k
08-05 20:44US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.5282934731$699.57
08-05 20:43Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?BUY0.91$4.9k
08-05 20:40Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.4198948607$974.06