ANGGGuess
0xab01674c1c52d980ad4db875774dcde04eee2558
- Realised P&L
- $8.0k
- Volume
- $398.1k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $230.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.4kat 0.773Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$1.9kat 0.897Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
- +$892.78at 0.929Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$171.84at 0.951Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?
- +$0.00at 0.900Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 14:55 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $14.9k |
| 09-03 14:54 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.3k |
| 09-03 14:54 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $18.4k |
| 09-03 14:52 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.8580641996 | $2.8k |
| 08-17 12:41 | Russia coup attempt in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.9k |
| 08-17 12:39 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $16.0k |
| 08-17 12:39 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.22 | $2.9k |
| 08-05 20:50 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $2.3k |
| 08-05 20:50 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $13.9k |
| 08-05 20:49 | China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.8k |
| 08-05 20:48 | US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $182.91 |
| 08-05 20:48 | Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.7k |
| 08-05 20:44 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5282934731 | $699.57 |
| 08-05 20:43 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.9k |
| 08-05 20:40 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4198948607 | $974.06 |