lllllllll
0xaa135cc5ada146fe24fe5d24eb992dbb5dcf9c9a
- Realised P&L
- $33.55
- Volume
- $23.9k
- Markets traded
- 106
- Open portfolio
- $400.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded106
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$288.60at 0.028Trump's birthright citizenship ban unblocked before July?
- +$151.43at 0.0701,300+ Measles cases in U.S. before July?
- +$151.43at 0.070Will Barcelona win the treble?
- +$144.13at 0.217Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 31?
- +$106.67at 0.150 Elon Musk out as Senior Advisor to Trump in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 09:02 | Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.74 | $5.18 |
| 09-17 09:01 | Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.74 | $21.46 |
| 09-17 08:59 | Will Houston Astros win the 2026 AL West title? | BUY | 0.5985670498 | $12.50 |
| 09-17 08:55 | Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $29.26 |
| 09-16 08:09 | Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%? | BUY | 0.853 | $29.00 |
| 09-15 08:33 | Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.0994105556 | $17.89 |
| 09-15 08:32 | Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $29.20 |
| 09-15 08:30 | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $28.35 |
| 09-14 08:57 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.4057553839 | $24.68 |
| 09-14 08:54 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? | BUY | 0.334 | $18.37 |
| 09-14 08:53 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? | BUY | 0.334 | $9.35 |
| 09-14 08:52 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.67 | $18.76 |
| 09-14 08:50 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.525 | $27.83 |
| 09-14 08:48 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | BUY | 0.1034 | $15.51 |
| 09-13 12:14 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.83 | $27.39 |