PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xAa022FD67cD14CD9BBa648558386F4180BAD1df8-1766516087532

0xaa022fd67cd14cd9bba648558386f4180bad1df8

Realised P&L
$21.99
Volume
$2.7k
Markets traded
58
Open portfolio
$69.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded58
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3530.543$50.09+$17.56
Will Beyoncé release an album in 2026? · Yes0.9410.325$3.85$7.29
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? · Yes0.7900.979$3.72+$0.72
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? · Yes0.0780.457$2.93+$2.43
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · Yes0.6920.977$2.83+$0.83
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0800.095$1.19+$0.19
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · Yes0.8300.965$1.17+$0.16
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? · Yes0.6200.605$0.98$0.02
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? · Yes0.2300.165$0.72$0.28
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0030.002$0.50$0.50
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? · Yes0.2100.046$0.44$1.56
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0970.033$0.33$0.67
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0020.001$0.25$0.75
Will Beyoncé be the top artist for 2026? · Yes0.0110.002$0.14$0.86
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 16:36Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?BUY0.9849997488$2.51
09-09 16:34Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?BUY0.6199997024$1.00
09-07 04:13Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.413$2.06
09-07 04:04Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.082$0.39
09-04 00:50Will Beyoncé release an album in 2026?BUY0.8699999542$1.14
08-27 16:49US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?BUY0.8799995072$1.00
08-27 16:48US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9669999932$1.00
08-27 16:47Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.002$1.00
08-27 16:46Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.352999978$5.00
08-06 13:42Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2659998399$1.00
08-06 13:42US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.3499998775$1.00
08-06 13:40Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2659998399$1.00
08-06 13:39Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.002999997$1.00
08-06 13:39Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.08$1.00
08-06 13:36Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?SELL0.101$0.18
Trader 0xAa022FD67cD14CD9BBa648558386F4180BAD1df8-1766516087532 · PolyBot Pro