0xAa022FD67cD14CD9BBa648558386F4180BAD1df8-1766516087532
0xaa022fd67cd14cd9bba648558386f4180bad1df8
- Realised P&L
- $21.99
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $69.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.19at 0.820No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?
- +$6.14at 0.140Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
- +$2.12at 0.500Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?
- +$1.86at 0.350US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$1.27at 0.568Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 16:36 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.9849997488 | $2.51 |
| 09-09 16:34 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? | BUY | 0.6199997024 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 04:13 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.413 | $2.06 |
| 09-07 04:04 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.082 | $0.39 |
| 09-04 00:50 | Will Beyoncé release an album in 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999542 | $1.14 |
| 08-27 16:49 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799995072 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 16:48 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9669999932 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 16:47 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 16:46 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.352999978 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 13:42 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2659998399 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 13:42 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 13:40 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2659998399 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 13:39 | Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.002999997 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 13:39 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 13:36 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.101 | $0.18 |