PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

welfare

0xa9ea2f62ceefe3014769ceb44125030d6d0f7d1e

Realised P&L
$-251.42
Volume
$2.9k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$35.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Lions vs. Bills: O/U 54.5 · Over0.5200.910$8.75+$3.75
Spread: Bills (-4.5) · Bills0.5300.885$8.35+$3.35
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.7600.765$5.03+$0.03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6020.601$4.99$0.01
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.2000.165$4.13$0.88
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.4100.295$3.60$1.40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.0060.004$0.75$0.25
Will there be 14–16 inches of snow in NYC this weekend? · Yes0.1580.000$0.00$177.54
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$8.91
Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel · Schimel0.1600.000$0.00$30.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 17:33Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by November 30, 2026?BUY0.4099999984$5.00
09-17 14:55Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.7599999696$5.00
09-17 14:55US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6019999884$5.00
09-17 14:54Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.006$1.00
09-17 14:52Another Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.2$5.00
09-17 14:50Lions vs. Bills: O/U 54.5BUY0.5199999792$5.00
09-17 14:50Spread: Bills (-4.5)BUY0.5299999587$5.00
09-15 21:41XRP Up or Down - September 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETSELL0.25$1.19
09-15 21:38XRP Up or Down - September 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETBUY0.419999979$2.00
09-15 16:20Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)BUY0.539999964$6.00
09-15 16:18Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETSELL0.79$6.26
09-15 16:16Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETBUY0.5899999546$4.68
09-15 16:11Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1399999971$4.80
09-15 16:11Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1399999993$4.11
09-15 16:09Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETSELL0.92$14.19