PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bifurcatio

0xa9ea2f23772e0e374598b895194ec404bf7d1043

Realised P&L
$-4.1k
Volume
$364.4k
Markets traded
147
Open portfolio
$176.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded147
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 22:58Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19?BUY0.9$6.6k
10-16 22:56Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 19?BUY0.8795779477$3.7k
10-16 00:25Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 16?BUY0.9040296595$1.2k
10-16 00:23Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.5159399379$25.4k
10-16 00:19Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 17?BUY0.8676019157$7.4k
10-16 00:16Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 22?BUY0.9499935525$7.4k
10-16 00:12Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.9037591795$2.9k
10-16 00:12Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.91$1.6k
10-16 00:08Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8$7.2k
10-15 23:50Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?SELL0.52$156.00
10-15 23:49Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?SELL0.52$612.04
10-15 23:49Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?SELL0.52$843.09
10-15 23:48Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?SELL0.5427131783$70.01
10-15 23:47Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?SELL0.54$5.40
10-15 23:47Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?SELL0.54$214.92