0xa9a87066e65c96228fa625776f455c563d9bd779
0xa9a87066e65c96228fa625776f455c563d9bd779
- Realised P&L
- $-252.81
- Volume
- $8.4k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $57.47
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration87.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$76.19at 0.744Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$9.31at 0.525Will “The Fate of Ophelia” by Taylor Swift win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?
- +$0.96at 0.955Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
- +$0.55at 0.928Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?
- +$-0.21at 0.485Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 15:55 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2? | BUY | 0.9199999579 | $7.00 |
| 10-01 15:48 | Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? | BUY | 0.03 | $2.40 |
| 10-01 15:45 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.0592460935 | $3.20 |
| 10-01 15:42 | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.04 | $4.27 |
| 10-01 15:33 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.2389999953 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 15:32 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.2527093283 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 09:42 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $20.07 |
| 09-25 10:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.8199999818 | $1.80 |
| 09-25 10:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.8299999923 | $7.58 |
| 09-25 10:31 | Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.49 | $10.42 |
| 09-21 15:17 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BUY | 0.1799999978 | $12.80 |
| 09-21 15:02 | Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September 2026? | BUY | 0.0247622821 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 14:56 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30? | BUY | 0.296248849 | $29.60 |
| 09-21 14:51 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 14:49 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25? | BUY | 0.044968522 | $10.00 |