PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa89a5667d775CfC845f57f181843e3aEdf1CD889-1776248632228

0xa89a5667d775cfc845f57f181843e3aedf1cd889

Realised P&L
$240.45
Volume
$38.8k
Markets traded
107
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded107
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.8300.945$214.12+$26.12
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.8660.885$195.74+$4.14
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? · Yes0.9000.875$157.50−$4.50
Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026? · No0.8270.974$117.88+$17.79
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? · No0.7170.795$107.34+$10.53
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? · No0.9000.926$92.60+$2.60
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? · No0.8900.895$89.50+$0.50
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7700.795$79.50+$2.50
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · No0.6900.730$73.00+$4.00
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7710.775$52.70+$0.24
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? · No0.9250.968$48.38+$2.13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · No0.9000.958$47.88+$2.88
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · Yes0.8600.925$46.25+$3.25
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4900.910$45.50+$21.00
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.8400.780$39.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 23:48US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?BUY0.9$162.00
09-30 17:16Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?SELL0.994$149.10
09-30 17:15Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?SELL0.997$27.38
09-28 14:24NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.72$12.96
09-28 14:22Will Trump and Putin not meet?SELL0.23$11.50
09-28 14:18NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.86$51.60
09-20 13:31Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.26$2.34
09-20 13:25Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?BUY0.94$79.90
09-20 13:23NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.85$34.00
09-20 13:22Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?BUY0.78$39.00
09-20 13:20NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.85$42.50
09-20 13:20Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.69$34.50
09-20 13:19Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?BUY0.93$19.53
09-05 08:20Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?BUY0.9$36.90
09-04 16:34Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?BUY0.89$17.80