0xa89a5667d775CfC845f57f181843e3aEdf1CD889-1776248632228
0xa89a5667d775cfc845f57f181843e3aedf1cd889
- Realised P&L
- $240.45
- Volume
- $38.8k
- Markets traded
- 107
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded107
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$204.26at 0.681Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
- +$189.82at 0.813US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
- +$117.93at 0.656Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
- +$85.52at 0.803Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
- +$68.71at 0.746Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 23:48 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? | BUY | 0.9 | $162.00 |
| 09-30 17:16 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | SELL | 0.994 | $149.10 |
| 09-30 17:15 | Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $27.38 |
| 09-28 14:24 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $12.96 |
| 09-28 14:22 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | SELL | 0.23 | $11.50 |
| 09-28 14:18 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $51.60 |
| 09-20 13:31 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.26 | $2.34 |
| 09-20 13:25 | Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $79.90 |
| 09-20 13:23 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $34.00 |
| 09-20 13:22 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $39.00 |
| 09-20 13:20 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $42.50 |
| 09-20 13:20 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $34.50 |
| 09-20 13:19 | Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $19.53 |
| 09-05 08:20 | Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $36.90 |
| 09-04 16:34 | Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $17.80 |