jordentong
0xa7baceab1af805253eb7e31577ceaa4dac5902af
- Realised P&L
- $14.57
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $16.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.52at 0.660Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$10.24at 0.089Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
- +$9.00at 0.250Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?
- +$7.40at 0.756Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-19?
- +$6.93at 0.126Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 06:49 | Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 05-09 05:25 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 05-09 05:25 | Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? | BUY | 0.029 | $1.45 |
| 05-03 20:22 | Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | SELL | 0.0165448697 | $2.49 |
| 04-26 02:36 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.185000007 | $5.00 |
| 04-26 02:36 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.186999976 | $5.00 |
| 04-23 07:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $0.94 |
| 04-22 07:59 | Shymkent: Daniil Ostapenkov vs Buvaysar Gadamauri | BUY | 0.5599999664 | $1.95 |
| 04-22 07:59 | Shymkent: Daniil Ostapenkov vs Buvaysar Gadamauri | BUY | 0.5599999664 | $1.95 |
| 04-20 20:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.88 | $6.20 |
| 04-20 20:11 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 21? | BUY | 0.0219979635 | $0.90 |
| 04-20 20:09 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on April 21? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $0.92 |
| 04-20 20:09 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C or below on April 21? | BUY | 0.0039698744 | $0.90 |
| 04-20 20:07 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on April 21? | BUY | 0.0156347717 | $0.90 |
| 04-20 20:07 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 21? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $0.91 |